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Bitcoin Flashes Rare Signal That Could Trigger Drop Below $40,000, Analyst Warns | Bitcoinist.com

3 July 2025
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Bitcoin (BTC) just lately closed its June month-to-month candle above $100,000, elevating hopes amongst bulls for continued upside all through the summer season. Nonetheless, the digital asset has now flashed a uncommon sign that warns of a big value pullback within the coming months.

Bitcoin Flashes Uncommon Bearish Sign

In accordance with a current X put up by seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Bitcoin has triggered a Tom Demark (TD) Sequential sell-signal on the quarterly chart. Martinez famous that this can be a uncommon and traditionally dependable warning that has usually preceded main drawdowns for the cryptocurrency.

For the uninitiated, a quarterly TD Sequential sell-signal is a uncommon technical indicator that seems after a number of consecutive bullish quarterly candles, signaling long-term pattern exhaustion. It means that Bitcoin might face a big correction after a chronic uptrend.

In 2015, its look was adopted by a 75% decline in BTC, whereas in 2018, an analogous sign preceded an 85% crash. Martinez cautioned that if the present sign performs out equally, Bitcoin might fall as little as $40,000 – a possible 64% drop from present ranges.

Nonetheless, not all analysts share this bearish outlook. Fellow crypto analyst CryptoGoos interpreted Bitcoin’s quarterly shut as bullish. He disputed comparisons with the 2021 double-top sample and prompt that market construction stays sturdy.

goos
Crypto analyst CryptoGoos dismissed the newest quarterly shut as a double-top sample | Supply: CryptoGoos on X

BTC Wanting Prepared For New Excessive?

Regardless of the bearish TD Sequential sell-signal, a number of analysts stay assured {that a} new all-time excessive (ATH) is on the horizon. Analyst Jelle identified that BTC has damaged out and efficiently re-tested a 3-day bullish pennant, making it look “ripe for liftoff.”

jelle
Supply: Jelle on X

In one other put up, Jelle famous that if BTC decisively breaks above $110,000, its subsequent goal could possibly be $130,000. For reference, BTC’s present ATH is $111,814, recorded on Could 22.

In the meantime, Merlijn The Dealer highlighted a bullish technical setup on BTC’s day by day chart. He pointed to a breakout from a falling wedge, adopted by the formation of a bull flag – two sturdy continuation patterns. He acknowledged:

Two of the strongest continuation patterns again to again. $140K shouldn’t be hopium. It’s the projection. Sturdy palms are positioning now. Bitcoin doesn’t wait. The breakout is inevitable.

merlijn
BTC is poised to breakout from a bull flag sample, eyeing new ATH round $140,000 | Supply: Merlijn The Dealer on X

Moreover, Bitcoin’s weekly RSI continues to transfer towards the higher trendline – a sample that has traditionally coincided with BTC reaching new highs. At press time, BTC trades at $109,438, up 2.9% previously 24 hours.

bitcoin
Bitcoin trades at $109,438 on the day by day chart | Supply: BTCUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured picture from Unsplash.com, charts from X and TradingView.com

Editorial Course of for bitcoinist is centered on delivering totally researched, correct, and unbiased content material. We uphold strict sourcing requirements, and every web page undergoes diligent assessment by our workforce of high expertise consultants and seasoned editors. This course of ensures the integrity, relevance, and worth of our content material for our readers.



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Tags: AnalystBitcoinBitcoinist.comDropFlashesRareSignalTriggerwarns
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