Solo Bitcoin Miners Are Winning More Blocks Lately—What Gives? – Decrypt

One other solo Bitcoin miner defied the chances final week, processing a block and bagging a 3.125 BTC reward. On the time—together with the transaction charges—that was a $259,637 payday. And it was one in every of a number of such solo scores in current months.

Was the miner fortunate? Is solo mining changing into extra frequent? And might a mean Joe hook up a pastime mining machine and succeed with minimal sources in comparison with publicly traded miners?

The solutions differ. Solo miners, a time period used to explain the whole lot from particular person pastime miners to teams that choose to function privately and discreetly, are succeeding extra usually, though not dramatically so—and the totals are unlikely to spike considerably.

Mining with out the help of an enormous pool is “nonetheless like taking part in the lottery,” mentioned Scott Norris, CEO of impartial Bitcoin miner Optiminer.

In 2022, solo miners utilizing the Solo CKPool—a service permitting nameless miners to get began with a mining hook-up, with out the necessity to run their very own full Bitcoin node—solved seven blocks. In 2023, the quantity jumped to 12 blocks. Quick ahead to 2024, and the quantity hit 16 blocks. 

However a block mined utilizing Solo CKPool (which isn’t a conventional mining pool, regardless of the identify) does not essentially imply somebody is mining Bitcoin with little or no hash fee, alone of their bed room. Some Crypto Twitter observers have loudly, however erroneously made this declare. 

The mining pool business is dominated by a handful of huge gamers—suppose Foundry, AntPool, and F2Pool. Miners hook as much as the pool, share sources, and break up rewards. With a service like Solo CKPool, the miner will get the reward as soon as they discover a block—and preserve almost all of it.

Because the Bitcoin community has grown, extra energy and sources are wanted to mine blocks, and mining companies usually are industrial operations run by public firms. Some hardcore Bitcoiners argue that that is unhealthy for Bitcoin, as a result of the community ought to be as decentralized as doable. 

Interest mining rigs like Bitaxe and FutureBit Apollo, which promote from $200 to $500, are actually the favourite devices of “Bitcoin maximalists.” In January, a FutureBit Apollo processed a block—however solely due to a nonprofit group donating hash fee (the computational energy dedicated to supporting the Bitcoin community) to the machine from different machines. 

The concept was to “dismantle the proprietary mining empire to make Bitcoin and freedom tech accessible to anybody,” pseudonymous Bitcoin miner Econoalchemist wrote on X on the time.

Even with slim odds, the rise of pastime miners might be fueling the obvious progress of particular person block wins in current months. In an interview with Decrypt, Econoalchemist famous the current development of rising solo successes. 

“Each from time to time, and increasingly continuously, that single machine [processing a block] is a Bitaxe or related small mining system discovered working quietly in somebody’s dwelling,” he mentioned.

Optimer’s Scott Norris famous that conglomerates might be processing blocks by not utilizing an enormous pool, however by having quite a lot of hashrate.

And even Houston, Texas-based Solo Satoshi, which sells mining gear just like the Bitaxe Gamma, says on its web site that utilizing a $180 Bitaxe machine with a hashrate of 1.2 terahash per second would have a 0.00068390% probability per day of mining a block. 

However Matt Howard, who based Solo Satoshi, mentioned that getting caught into solo mining is not essentially in regards to the payday.

“The first purpose is extra decentralization. Discovering a block and getting the Bitcoin reward is a bonus,” he mentioned. “To the Bitcoin maximalists, they perceive that mining must be decentralized.”

Edited by James Rubin