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The “Compliant Citizen” Dilemma and the “Civic Dividend” of Bitcoin

11 June 2025
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After the closure of home platforms, Chinese language merchants turned to abroad markets, and the worldwide Bitcoin buying and selling panorama modified accordingly.

As I famous in 2021, among the many world’s ten largest economies, solely China prohibited banks and fee establishments from taking part in Bitcoin buying and selling. This sample has remained largely unchanged. In main economies equivalent to the USA, Japan, Germany, the UK, and South Korea, Bitcoin stays authorized and freely tradable.

Since 2022, world financial turbulence and frequent rate of interest hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve have drawn capital away from rising markets again to the U.S., inserting further stress on China’s economic system.

Notably after Donald Trump returned to energy, U.S. coverage on digital belongings underwent an important shift — from resistance to strategic absorption.

In 2024, Trump signed the Bitcoin Reserve Act, formally recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset eligible for inclusion on the federal government steadiness sheet. The lately handed GENIUS Act (Governing Digital Networks for Issued US-stablecoins) supplied clear compliance pathways for stablecoins equivalent to USDC and USDT. These will not be simply technical coverage shifts however front-line maneuvers in a contest over financial sovereignty.

In comparison with the U.S., which is leveraging Bitcoin to counter inflation and reinforce its financial dominance, China is extra centered on sustaining industrial output, exports, and employment. With a still-dominant manufacturing base, China’s monetary coverage will not be aimed toward dominating world asset pricing, however somewhat at buffering the uncertainties of home financial restructuring.

In response to Trump’s Commerce Conflict 2.0 — revived tariffs, provide chain disruptions, and tightened chip sanctions — China wants a steady monetary setting to soak up exterior shocks. “Stability” right here means distancing itself from all high-volatility belongings, irrespective of how revolutionary.

Bitcoin, by nature unstable and speculative, might — if tied to home monetary markets — set off a contagion of speculative conduct and secondary monetary dangers.

Thus, tightening regulation doesn’t outright deny Bitcoin’s worth, however acts as a buffer zone, delaying potential shocks to China’s monetary system. With this context in thoughts, the challenges you face in transferring funds out and in of crypto turn out to be simpler to grasp.



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