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The Daily Breakdown: It’s Fed Day

31 July 2025
in Crypto Exchanges
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The Day by day Breakdown seems to be on the bevy of occasions as we speak, together with GDP, the Fed, and earnings from Microsoft and Meta.

Earlier than we dive in, let’s be sure you’re set to obtain The Day by day Breakdown every morning. To maintain getting our each day insights, all that you must do is log in to your eToro account.

Wednesday’s TLDR

Fed, GDP in focus
MSFT, META to report earnings
SOFI falls on newest providing

What’s Taking place?

As we speak is without doubt one of the busiest days in US markets. Right here’s the rundown: 

GDP. Earlier than the market opens, we’ll obtain the second-quarter GDP print. After a bumpy first quarter, economists anticipate a rebound in Q2, exhibiting annualized development of roughly 2.5%. Keep in mind, client spending drives about two-thirds of US GDP, so traders wish to see a robust exhibiting from the patron to really feel reassured in regards to the financial system.

Fed. At 2 p.m. ET, the Federal Reserve will launch its rate of interest resolution. Markets will not be pricing in a price lower from the Fed, however traders can be targeted on the language within the Fed assertion and can be paying shut consideration to Fed Chair Powell’s Q&A session, which begins at 2:30 p.m. With markets at present pricing in a price lower for September, traders wish to get a really feel for whether or not this can be a lifelike expectation.

Earnings. Whereas the earnings reviews continued final night time and this morning, this afternoon is a key focus. That’s as a result of Microsoft, Meta, Robinhood, Qualcomm, Arm, and Ford all report earnings. Analysts anticipate roughly 14% (GAAP) earnings development from each Meta and Microsoft.

Wish to obtain these insights straight to your inbox?

Enroll right here

The Setup — Alphabet

Magnificent 7 earnings are in focus this week, however Alphabet already delivered a reasonably stable quarter final week. The corporate beat on earnings and income and confirmed stable development in its key companies like search and cloud. 

The inventory’s preliminary rally stalled, nevertheless it’s now looking for the power to proceed increased. Alphabet nonetheless has the bottom valuation within the Magazine 7 group (through its ahead P/E ratio). 

Chart as of the shut on 7/29/2025. Supply: eToro ProCharts, courtesy of TradingView.

Due to its stable earnings outcomes, low valuation, and up to date value momentum, bulls are possible searching for Alphabet’s short-term shifting averages to behave as help. Ideally, traders wish to see the inventory keep above the $180 breakout space within the days and weeks forward.

Transferring ahead, bulls in the end wish to see shares take out the current excessive ($197.95) and go on to fill the hole up towards $203 (that’s the blue field on the chart above). Ultimately, bulls wish to see Alphabet take out its highs close to $207. 

Choices

As of July twenty ninth, the choices with the best open curiosity for GOOGL inventory — which means the contracts with the most important open positions within the choices market — had been the December 2026 $300 calls, the September $210 calls, and the January 2026 $260 calls. 

For some traders, choices might be one different to invest on GOOGL. Keep in mind, the danger for choices patrons is tied to the premium paid for the choice — and dropping the premium is the complete threat. 

Bulls can make the most of calls or name spreads to invest on additional upside, whereas bears can use places or put spreads to invest on the positive factors petering out and GOOGL rolling over. 

For these trying to study extra about choices, think about visiting the eToro Academy.

What Wall Avenue Is Watching

SBUX

Starbucks inventory is rallying in pre-market buying and selling after the agency reported combined quarterly outcomes final night time. Earnings missed analysts’ expectations, however income of $9.5 billion beat expectations of $9.3 billion as CEO Brian Niccol mentioned the agency’s turnaround plans had been “forward of schedule.” Try the charts for SBUX. 

SOFI

Shares of SoFi initially spiked to multi-year highs after better-than-expected earnings outcomes. Whereas shares had been up greater than 20% at one level within the session, SoFi ended increased by simply 6.6%. Now it’s down this morning after the corporate introduced a $1.5 billion shelf providing. 

UPS

Shares of UPS tumbled on Tuesday, falling over 10% and sending the inventory to new 52-week lows. The corporate missed on earnings and beat income expectations, however didn’t present steering on account of ongoing financial uncertainty. The dividend yield is now above 7% after the autumn. Dig into the basics for UPS.

Disclaimer:

Please notice that on account of market volatility, a number of the costs could have already been reached and situations performed out.



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