Why did the FBI come knocking on Polymarket's door

🚪 Why did the FBI come knocking on Polymarket’s door?

Plus: Caitlyn Jenner faces token troubles

GM. Step as much as the Day by day Squeeze bar! We’re urgent market pulp right into a cocktail of stories that is ripe for sipping.

🚔 The FBI raided the home of Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan.

🍊 Information drops: Donald Trump nominates pro-Bitcoin Matt Gaetz for Legal professional Basic, Caitlyn Jenner is dealing with a lawsuit over a memecoin + extra

🍍 Market taste as we speak

What is going on on? The Concern and Greed Index simply cranked as much as 88, pushing deeper into “Excessive Greed” territory. Bitcoin blasted previous $93.4K yesterday, and even after the dip, it is nonetheless hanging round $91K.

What’s fueling this surge? US inflation numbers dropped – the Shopper Value Index (CPI) went up by 0.2% for the month and a pair of.6% over the 12 months, proper according to what everybody anticipated. And why does this matter? Regular inflation regardless of the Fed slicing rates of interest means there is a good probability we’ll see much more fee cuts quickly – in response to CME FedWatch, there’s now an 82.3% probability of a 0.25% fee lower in December.

Bitcoin bulls are loving it, and Bitwise’s Chief Funding Officer Matt Hougan thinks $100K is simply across the nook. He additionally believes that even if you happen to’re feeling late to the celebration, you are still early till Bitcoin hits $500K.

Why $500K, you might ask? That is when Bitcoin would hit “mature” standing, much like gold. Gold’s market cap is about $18T, and Bitcoin’s is roughly $2T. So, a “grown-up” Bitcoin sharing the $20T store-of-value market equally with gold would value it at round $500K per coin. So yeah, nonetheless early days 🚀

In the meantime, institutional curiosity continues to be off the charts – Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $510.1M in inflows simply yesterday. Ethereum ETFs aren’t slacking both, raking in $146.9M.

Mainly, the market’s extra electrifying than ever. What an thrilling time to be within the sport! ⚡️

😎 Did not predict this, huh?

For those who grew up with siblings, you already know that there are a number of survival expertise which are important to study:

– Splitting the whole lot into scientifically exact halves;

– Hiding snacks;

– Dealing with the “you are adopted” bomb (even whenever you look precisely just like the sibling who mentioned it);

– Realizing early on that you do not at all times get what you need.

However this is one paradox for ya: in some way, some folks miss that final lesson.

Exhibit A: Donald Trump. Exhibit B: Kamala Harris.

They each have siblings, but they’re each sore losers. Btw, I do know, nothing says “bonding with the viewers” like roasting each side of the political spectrum.

In any case, why are they sore losers? Nicely, Trump loses the election – the Capitol will get stormed (however let’s not open that may of worms as we speak). Harris loses – Polymarket will get somewhat go to.

And by “go to,” I imply at 6 AM, Polymarket’s CEO Shayne Coplan will get a knock on his door, and it is not DoorDash – it is the FBI. They raided his home, demanding rapid entry to his telephone and different electronics.

… However why? Coplan himself would not know for positive, however rumor has it that this may’ve been politically motivated. See, in contrast to mainstream polls, Polymarket predicted that Trump was gonna win (which, spoiler alert: they have been proper). And now, the authorities may wanna construct a case towards this platform, claiming they rigged their polls in favor of Trump.

Polymarket, after all, denies all of it. Their rep insists they’re only a prediction market giving folks a clearer view of present occasions – no charges, no insider bets, and full transparency.

Guess that is only one extra life lesson that having siblings additionally teaches you: typically, you simply occur to be within the improper place on the improper time, and abruptly – you are grounded.

📰 Information drops

💼 Donald Trump nominated Rep. Matt Gaetz for Legal professional Basic. Psst, he is pro-Bitcoin.

⛓ Ross Ulbricht, the man who began the Silk Street market, is hopeful that Trump will comply with by means of on his marketing campaign promise to chop his sentence. “After greater than 11 years in darkness,” he posted, “I can lastly see a light-weight on the finish of the tunnel.”

⚖️ A bunch of memecoin consumers sued Caitlyn Jenner, saying she pushed a token with out registering it as a safety. They’re claiming losses of over $56K from shopping for into JENNER and argue they would not have touched it if not for Jenner’s deceptive statements.

📊 Crypto knowledge powerhouse Kaiko purchased Vinter, a significant European crypto index supplier. Vinter’s CEO, Jacob Lindberg, sees this as a game-changer, positioning the businesses because the leaders for crypto knowledge and indexing.

🇰🇷 A South Korean monetary influencer, dubbed Mr. A, bought caught up in a $232M crypto rip-off. After buyers began demanding refunds for his flopped inventory ideas, authorities launched an investigation that led to the arrest of 215 folks tied to the scheme.